Economic Research and Training Foundation
India’s labour force is undergoing structural transformation with share of agriculture in the workforce witnessing a modest 23% decline f
Known as ‘white gold’, Indian cotton is a major cash crop that supports 6 million farmers and 40–50 million people in the downstream proces
>In recent years, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has been consciously seeking to reduce its dependence on oil export revenue by diversifyin
India, the epicenter of the global pulses ecosystem, is currently in transition. From the 2025-26 season covering Kharif 2025 and Rabi 2026
Teaser: Supported by a drop in oil prices and the weakening of the US dollar, gold increased marginally to around $4,600 on Friday, extendi
Monetary policy in times of uncertainty requires inflationary expectations to be firmly anchored…This directly implies the crucial import
Teaser: Gold rose mildly after the Justice Department dropped its probe into outgoing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, supporting both gold and sil
Currency in circulation (CiC), increased by 11.9% (vis-à-vis 6.1% last year), to reach the all-time high level of Rs 41.6 trillion during
Indonesian Agriculture Minister’s statement that his country will no longer import low-grade diesel fuel with effect from July 1 this year
India is touted as a US $ 4 Trillion economy and world’s fastest growing. The nominal GDP per capita below $ 3,000 places the country at a
Pachpadra was contained. The next incident may not give us that courtesy - and the signature of a tampered valve looks identical to a fau
Teaser: Gold jumped to the highest in almost a month after Iran declared the Strait of Hormuz “completely open” on Friday to commercial t
The prolonged talks, mostly dead-locked and partially filled with a false semblance of hope at once, reminiscent of Kabhi Haan, Kabhi Naa
Teaser: Gold edged up to $4,780 per ounce on Friday, heading for a third straight weekly gain, buoyed by a weaker dollar and investor focus
MODEST UPTICK IN CPI INFLATION: VOLATILITY FEARS MAY PLAGUE IMPORTED INFLATION EVEN AS FY27 TO BE A YEAR WITH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL, THOUGH
We are living in a disruptive decade, having witnessed a series of catastrophic events last six years. Starting with the Covid-19 pandemic
The role of fertilizers as one of the three critical inputs for agricultural crops production and productivity is well recognized. For agra
Teaser: Gold prices fell over 4% to $4,600 per ounce on Thursday, halting a four day winning streak, as the US currency and oil prices soar
Into its fifth week, the ongoing military conflict in the Persian Gulf region does not show any clear sign of abating. Statements from play
Unprecedented times call for unequivocal, unprecedented and unambiguous supports. With parallels rife between 2013 and present in terms of
Teaser: Gold fell nearly 1% to around $4,450 on Monday, paring gains from the previous session as the Middle East conflict entered its fift
Oil excise cut to shield customers from the vagaries of oil price jump… Centre to forego revenue of around Rs 1.1 lakh crore….time for the
Global headwinds and proliferating series of exogenous shocks create a TINA (There Is No Alternative) syndrome for world currencies as unc
Precious metals in general and gold in particular enjoyed a stellar run in 2025 with the yellow metal reaching a record high price of $ 455
Last week, the Union Ministry of Agriculture released the second advance estimate of crop production for 2025-26 covering mainly Rabi crops
The ongoing military conflict in West Asia involving Israel and the US on the one side and Iran on the other has heightened the geopolitica
India’s macro story had been looking comfortably “Goldilocks” until now, with growth holding firm, inflation moderating and external risks
Should the raging conflict in Middle East proliferate asymmetrically across jurisdictions, asset classes and supply chains, the cumulativ
The trade deal with the US, back on the heels of wide arc of trade deals with EU & UK, catapults India to a unique strategic position
Even as the upcoming wheat crop is in the process of maturing and gradually readying for harvest in the next few weeks, rising day temperat
India set to transition to Upper Middle-Income Country by 2030 concurrently with becoming the 3rd Largest Economy in 2028..India at 95th pe
As traditional feedstock, coal is the cornerstone of electricity generation in many countries. Same time, it is the single largest source o
For a country aspiring to reach a $5-trillion GDP and already the world’s fastest-growing major economy, India’s nutrition status leaves mu
Gold has experienced a remarkable 2025, achieving over 50 all-time highs and returning over 60%.1 This performance has been supported by a
Introduction: The Invisible Cash Flow CrisisIn India’s manufacturing landscape, the story of small
In the basket of global vegetable oils that comprises oils of soy, rapeseed, sunseed, cottonseed, groundnut, coconut and a few more oil cro
Four Labour Codes Herald Transformational Change: Better Wages, Safety,
It is past mid-November and yet there is no sign of the ‘First Advance Estimates of Production’ of foodgrains, oilseeds and other commercia
India’s stainless steel utensil industry stands as one of the country’s quiet manufacturing triumphs — built on ingenuity, driven by micr
Gold and silver prices have reached record levels in the international market. Gold recently crossed the psychological $ 4,000 a troy oun
According to a report by the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, the total area sown under Kharif crops until September 26, 2025,
Gold has been a cornerstone of the global economy for centuries, serving as a store of value, a medium of exchange, and a hedge against f
India today stands at the threshold of a historic transformation, empowered by the strength of its digital revolution. With more than 950
IMC-ERTF (Economic Research and Training Foundation) is pleased to announce it Kharif 2025 crop production outlook following the gradua
India and Indonesia, two major economies in the Indo-Pacific, share a long-standing relationship and possess significant unrealized bilater
‘A bold peasantry, the country’s pride;Once destroyed can never
India’s cotton sector is set for a stronger supply position in the 2025–26 season, with the Cotton Association of India (CAI) projecting a
“Digital gold” is a relatively new product, which has been in the market for about a few years.So, what is digital Gold? Digital gold
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The 2020s has been a disruptive decade so far. The world has faced multiple headwinds and challenges since early 2020. Covid-19 pandemic, t
India’s poor nutrition status is well-documented. Pervasive malnutrition / under-nutrition especially in rural parts of the country is actu
India is the world’s largest producer of millets. The year 2024-25 witnessed a record 18.6 million tonnes production of what we call nutri-
The Indian economy is in an expansionary phase. Its future growth and national security are closely tied to its ability to secure and devel
According to a report by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), the rise in gold prices since the beginning of September has been am
The hot topic in the market for the last two days is the threat of tariff imposition on India's rice exports to the US on the grounds of 'd
‘In international relations, there are no permanent
Marked by geo-economic and geopolitical headwinds, the current year 2025 is on its way out; but a plethora of challenges will continue to h
In July 2024, the government sharply reduced the total customs duty on gold import from a high of 15% to 6% (comprising 5% basic customs du
To meet the widening domestic supply shortfall, India imports annually 15-16 million tonnes of various oils (palm, soy, sun) valued at $ 17
What Gen Z Really Wants in Packaging: More Than Just a Box Packaging today is no longer just a protective wrapper, it’s a storyt
After a remarkable 60 percent increase since the start of the year and nine-week winning run to reach a record high of $ 4380 a troy ounc
Teaser: Gold and silver ended lower on the week despite sharp intraday rebounds, with price action reflecting continued volatility and fr
The United States of America (United States) and India are pleased to announce tha
India is facing a double whammy from the US President Donald Trump despite the fact that the two countries are currently negotiating a bila
Trump’s 50 percent tariff (basic 25% plus additional 25%) on Indian exports to the US has generated panic not only within the government ci
India’s journey toward food and fibre security is at a critical juncture. With over 6.5 million cotton farmers and millions more engaged in
India is facing a dual disruption: exporters struggling under steep tariffs and IT professionals experiencing layoffs despite record indust
The world is currently going through VUCA conditions – volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity. Multiple headwinds buffet the wor
The earth’s risk profile is changing. Global warming / Climate change is now a recognized real risk to human welfare. The world has taken c
What will the hike in minimum support price (MSP) for wheat for crop year 2025-26 (marketing year 2026-27) approved by the Cabinet Commit
Background: In pursuance of the decision to run blogs on topical subjects, ERTF chose Gold Market as the subject that could potentially eli
The much-awaited US reciprocal tariffs announced on April 2 have jolted the world with a few countries in Asia becoming the target of Trump
Have you heard of Gemma 3, Sec- Gemini v1, DeepSeek, Gemini 2.0, etc.? Don’t worry because more 95% of the people around you have not heard
The US faces the problem of ‘twin deficit’ that is fiscal deficit and trade deficit. The policy of free trade or liberal import – intended
After over three years of negotiations that began in January 2022, the India-UK Free Trade Agreement (FTA) was recently concluded and forma
Cotton is an important cash crop for our country. It is not merely an agricultural crop but an industrial commodity too as it has multiple
Steel is a critical industrial metal for growth and development of several sectors including infrastructure, construction, defense, mobilit
At the recently concluded Asia Agri Food Conference in Ho Chi Min City, several ideas to cement India Vietnam partnership in the area of ag
The proposed India-USA Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) is still under intense negotiation. While, it is widely believed the US is keen to o
IMC-ERTF a quick research response has made a brief preliminary observation of the Unilateral and additional Ad Valorem Tariff Duty @ 25% f
It is well recognized that India’s growth over the next two decades or so will be largely driven by a variety of commodities including en
IntroductionIndia’s manufacturing MSMEs are the quiet workhorses of the economy. They contribute rou